Foreign Affairs
Reports say Theresa May is expected to lose Brexit vote with a considerable margin

The House of Commons this evening will take the widely expected vote on the agreement which British Prime Minister, Theresa May, negotiated with the European Union on Brexit. It is being reported that May is expected to lose the vote with a considerable margin of votes and, if this happens, she will have to consider another plan before the 29th March when the United Kingdom is scheduled to leave the EU.

A few hours before the Parliament vote, activists in favour of the U.K. remaining in the EU gathered outside Parliament building to appeal for the people’s vote. A person imitated Theresa May supposedly at the helm of the Titanic ship, which was named HMS Brexit, because they argued that her plan will hit an iceberg and drowns.

Bert Wander stated “it is clear that Brexit is a sinking ship and she has a lifelong there which is a people’s vote, a public vote to go back and see what the public want to do and then go on and do it.”

A vote by the public or another referendum on the negotiated agreement are among the choices which Theresa May is facing in case the House of Common rejects the agreement. The Prime Minister may also consider to present the negotiated agreement for the people’s approval. If the agreement is accepted by the electorate, it will have more legitimacy for the UK to leave the EU on the 29th March.

Another possibility is an early general election. Political analysts argue, however, that an election will not solve the issues raised in Parliament.

In case the majority of deputies in the House of Commons vote against the agreement, May has at least four other choices before her: to renegotiate another agreement with the EU; requests the EU more time to renew Article 50; remains a member of the Union; or is left with no agreement on Brexit and without a transition period. However, Parliament needs to vote on many of these choices and complications might increase.

Originally, the vote in the House of Commons was planned for the beginning of December, however is was postponed to allow May to seek new assurances from EU leaders on the future relations of the United Kingdom with the European block and on the Northern Ireland border agreement. However, this was not enough to revert the opinion of the British parliamentarians in favour of the agreement.

Among all this uncertainty, one thing is clear that each scenario has many questions and challenges that no one currently knows how they should be addressed.

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